The Phillies have largely protected themselves from these outcomes by not including an opt-out clause for Harper. The fact remains that Harper still only has one of those crazy MVP seasons everyone thought would be yearly occurrences when he broke into the league to his name. Thirteen years is an extremely long time, after all. But he’s also more likely than Machado to be a yearly two-win player over the course of his contract. Harper likely has greater upside than Machado in that he could very well become an eight-win player a year, something both ZiPS and I agree on.
He’s not a player next to whom you can simply write six or seven WAR a year in permanent marker. ZiPS doesn’t have the back years of the contract for Harper at the same level of detail as Machado, but less a function of ZiPS thinking Harper will age poorly and than it is the fact that a lot about Harper remains speculative. Williams, or whatever combination of Williams and Aaron Altherr or Dylan Cozens you can concoct, was the stopgap until the Phillies found something better and something better they’ve found. 256/.308/.448, which comes out to a 1.4 WAR, assuming 543 plate appearances. ZiPS was more keen on Nick Williams than Steamer was, but only to the tune of. With Machado gone to the Padres - who would’ve thought that two years ago - Harper was the team’s last real chance to spend that “stupid money” they were promising.īryce Harper is most likely to play right field for the Phillies, with Andrew McCutchen in left, and Odubel Herrera the long-term incumbent in centerfield.
Machado never seemed as excited about the possibility of going to Philadelphia as fans hoped even though he would have been just as useful in Philadelphia as Harper, given that the great Maikel Franco breakout appears not to be happening.
BRYCE HARPER CONTRACT PHIILIES 2019 FREE
It was actually conceivable that the Phillies would end up with both Harper and Machado, though this bit of free agent fan fiction didn’t quite come to pass.
Not all the free agents who hit free agency this winter did so in as exciting a manner as expected - players like Josh Donaldson and Dallas Keuchel saw their stocks drop, and Clayton Kershaw didn’t even test the market - but Bryce Harper and Manny Machado still tested the waters, with both expecting to end up with contracts near or exceeding $300 million in total value, and $30 million a year. The Phillies went about their rebuilding business in a disciplined and careful fashion, seizing an opportunity or two as they popped up along the way (for example, a depressed market for Jake Arrieta and the availability of Jean Segura in a trade). The Phillies have been circling this offseason in their diaries for years, the winter that a flood of awesome free agents would hit the market and the team could splash some cash and add a build-around star or two. The Philadelphia Phillies signed Bryce Harper to a 13-year, $330 million contract, reported with no opt-outs, opt-ins, options, opt-arounds, or any other sort of contract-related shenanigans.
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